Economy

Nigeria Eyes Eurobond Market for $7.7bn as Tinubu Revises Foreign Borrowing Plan

The Federal Government is considering another major Eurobond issuance as President Bola Tinubu seeks to raise $7.7 billion from international lenders to finance part of Nigeria’s 2026 budget deficit.

The proposed borrowing, valued at N10.79 trillion at the budget exchange rate of N1,400 per dollar, replaces an earlier request for $20.52 billion and €1.045 billion under the 2026–2027 Supplementary External Borrowing Plan.

In a letter dated October 26, 2026, and presented to the Senate on Wednesday, Tinubu identified Eurobonds as a preferred financing option because they offer the government an opportunity to raise substantial funds within a relatively short period.

However, the government has not disclosed the interest rate, repayment period or the proportion of the proposed $7.7 billion that would eventually be raised through Eurobonds.

These details are particularly important given Nigeria’s existing debt obligations and the additional pressure that foreign-currency repayments could place on government finances if the naira weakens.

According to the president, the Federal Government will explore multiple financing arrangements, including multilateral and bilateral loans, syndicated facilities, bridge financing and international bond issuance.

The final financing structure will depend on borrowing costs, market conditions and the availability of funds.

While Eurobonds could provide faster access to capital, they are generally issued on commercial terms, unlike concessional loans from development institutions that may offer lower interest rates and longer repayment periods.

This means the speed of raising funds must be weighed against the long-term cost of servicing the debt.

The revised borrowing request forms part of the N29.2 trillion in new borrowing provided for in the 2026 Appropriation Act, comprising N18.4 trillion in domestic financing and N10.79 trillion in external financing.

Tinubu said the proceeds would support projects in transportation, power, agriculture, defence, security, education and healthcare.

He also argued that the foreign-currency inflows would strengthen Nigeria’s external reserves and support the naira, as the proceeds would be received by the Central Bank of Nigeria on behalf of the Federal Government.

However, an increase in external reserves financed through borrowing does not necessarily represent an improvement in the country’s underlying foreign-exchange earnings.

Unlike export proceeds or foreign direct investment, borrowed dollars create corresponding repayment obligations that must eventually be settled, often with interest.

Consequently, the sustainability of the proposed financing will depend not only on its immediate contribution to reserves and budget implementation but also on whether the funds generate sufficient economic benefits to justify their cost.

The new request also comes amid questions over the implementation of previous borrowing approvals.

In October, Senator Victor Umeh questioned why contractors executing government projects were still awaiting payment despite repeated approvals for external borrowing.

His concerns highlight a broader issue surrounding Nigeria’s borrowing programme: the relationship between funds approved by lawmakers, amounts actually disbursed and projects completed.

The government has maintained that external financing is necessary to close infrastructure gaps and support economic development.

Finance Minister Taiwo Oyedele previously defended the larger borrowing programme, arguing that the proposed facilities would finance productive assets and that some development-partner loans carried more favourable terms than commercial borrowing.

Nevertheless, the shift from the earlier $20.52 billion and €1.045 billion proposal to a $7.7 billion request leaves questions about how the government’s broader external financing programme will be implemented.

The earlier proposal covered a supplementary borrowing plan for 2026 and 2027, while the revised request is tied specifically to the external financing provision of the 2026 budget. The difference in scope means the reduction cannot automatically be interpreted as an equivalent reduction in Nigeria’s overall future borrowing requirements.

For investors, attention will now turn to the pricing of any Eurobond issuance, the maturity structure and the impact on Nigeria’s foreign-currency debt servicing obligations.

A higher borrowing yield would increase the government’s future interest payments, while exchange-rate depreciation could raise the naira cost of servicing dollar-denominated obligations.

The Senate has referred the revised request to its Committee on Local and Foreign Debts for further consideration.

Until the borrowing is approved and financing terms are agreed, the proposed $7.7 billion remains a financing plan rather than funds already secured by the government.